The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? Blue States No. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. But. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Hi everyone from D.C.! So how does all that look visually? Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. #V. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. These are general election results for the years listed. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Success! The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. What are red and blue states? In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. How red or blue is your state? [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Is Missouri a red state? With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Electoral votes invalidated. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. And West Virginia is losing. Continue with Recommended Cookies. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". VOA explains. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Error! Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Special elections, if any, are excluded. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Tennessee. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. All three of those states were very close in both elections. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Which ones are more politically competitive? The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. Iapologize.). It is not a red state. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. We may not know results in PA fordays. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. State voted with the overall winning candidate. Out of. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. But Pennsylvania is now red. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. I think it's the state to watch. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. Use arrow keys to move around the map. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both.