But this deal also looks ok for the Atlanta ball club even if you factor a 20 percent likelihood of a derailing injury midway through the deal. In reality though, they dont have too b/c some are just that damn team friendly. MLB 4.05M subscribers Subscribe 3.1K Share 120K views 5 months ago Don't forget to subscribe!. Go Braves! Spencer Strider and the Plant-Based Diet When Strider was 19, he was diagnosed with high blood pressure something rather uncommon for a young athlete. The Braves and Swanson have publicly expressed mutual interest in a new contract, but getting something done would likely send the Braves soaring over the $200MM mark in terms of their bottom-line payroll while also pushing them into the general vicinity of the first luxury tax threshold for the first time ever. Thats great, except he still has to win a Cy Young, get multiple All-Star games, and or win Gold Gloves. Striders been out for close to a month recovering from a mild oblique strain. It would also be easier to negotiate more free agent years into the deal while still getting a significant discount on them. Career Earnings: View Spencer Strider 's Teammates Salaries Current Contract: Shane Spencer didnt have elite closer K numbers as a starting pitcher. Because he is going to be in top 2 of ROY voting which gives him an extra year of service time. He definitely cant play 2B, and doubt hes any better at SS. I think there is some advantage, that doesnt show up on the balance sheet, when you lock in your young players. Fried is the one you need locked up. I dont really comprehend the LOL. Spencer Schwellenbach, RHP 10. Spencer Strider baseball stats with batting stats, pitching stats and fielding stats, along with uniform numbers, salaries, quotes, career stats and biographical data presented by Baseball Almanac. Guy is putting up Randy Johnson numbers. If Strider is willing to take an extension now, he should be just as willing to do so again after another great year or two. Adding that extra year of service time will make him eligible. Thats the salary of players in year 2 and 3. Strider was 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA in 31 games this season. Research when he was drafted by the Yankees coming out of High School. They tended to evaluate the Mets as having the better team, but not by a lot, but were going (fwiw) with experience and so forth. And like I said before, he wouldnt even qualify for the ERA title. Just here for Mets fans comments. Sure, its risky, but theyve gotten some historic numbers in a rookie season already from Strider. For fans of baseballtradevalues.com, dont be surprised if he has negative $30M in value by 2025 when he has TJ surgery, misses a year and hes not quite as successful during his third or fourth pass through the league. A year ago, the Super 2 status was set a 2 years and 116 days, which is about normal, even low in recent years with most Super 2 status cutoffs falling in the 130s. Frieds totals so far are $3.5M, $6.85M, and a potential $12.2M, which is $22.5M in arbitration through three passes at this point. The six-year guarantee buys out Striders final two pre-arbitration seasons, all three arbitration years and what would have been his first free-agent season. Just saying. If he reaches his potential, sure if you want to believe that, but not on a long-term deal for a 30-year-old pitcher. Players use that as a bargaining tactic all the time. Without the extension, Strider would have been eligible for free agency after the '27 season. The Braves are a Smart Proactive Organization. Striders the first pitcher in MLB history to strike out over 200 hitters (202 Ks) and give up less than 100 hits (86.) Makes it much harder to trade him away too with such a high salary in those years. While I have been a fan of the other extensions, this extension scares me a bit. Huge Braves fan, but youre making a reasonable point here. Winning is irrelevant. They are paying $44 million max for both years and its likely that a single season of a TOR starter in 5 years will cost close to that much. But since they extended him this is obviously all moot. With future commitments, he still has a lot to accomplish in his life. Strider returned from his injury in 2020 and was later picked in the fourth round of the MLB 2020 draft by the Atlanta Braves, with whom he eventually signed a contract. The Braves made this deal on the assumption that Strider will both be Top 2 in ROY voting, giving him an extra year of service time, and Top 5 in Cy Young voting giving the team an extra draft pick. By the way, dont tell me what to I can or cant link to for reference, furthermore, people dont rewrite the same theories every year! Btw, Max Fried and Kyle Wright arent garbage. Neither Strider nor Harris II were ranked in the top 100 prospects by the media outlets that MLB is using to qualify rookies for increased service time and teams getting extra draft picks. They couldve done that with a 6 year deal for $45M with a $25M option. If he spent the whole season on the major league roster he is definitely NOT a Super Two. You see the pieces that are already in place. ================================ The risks are present, but the reward is fantastic, not to mention that it gives you the inside track in a few years to talk a further extension. Baez and Story are declining. Trevor Bauers arb years: $6.5M (2018), $13M (2019), $17.5M (2020) @Run. Owen Murphy, RHP 2. Good thing Shane Spencer wasnt on the Braves for 2 months this season, they wouldve given him $100m. . One thing is certain: he divides his time between the four MLB teams. Why do Braves fans act like he just had the best rookie season ever? They average the length of the deal. He hasnt performed at even close to their level. Be disappointed if you are going to be anything Braves fans because soon youll see when he falls short of expectations, which is anything short of him becoming Pedro Martinez and hes no Pedro! Theyll probably lose even more money on those years than they gain with the discount on the one or two free agent years, which probably would only be worth $30M max per season even if everything goes mostly right for him. Amateur career [ edit] I watched my home team in my home market on it myself without paying a dime or being blacked out. Were talking about a position player who finished top 5 MVP both seasons leading into the arb years. Or theyre being proactive to keep future payroll in check and balanced out so they dont get caught with uncertain arbitration costs in the future. Long-term extensions do not preclude a player from getting those bonus pool dollars pre-arbitration. I would give this contract a 5% chance of paying off for the Braves due to injury risk, statistical volatility, x-factor changes in both personal life and professional baseball. Good grief. I believe 2027 is the final year of that infamous TV deal that hasnt been the cash cow many other lesser franchises have benefitted from. They are very pleased to pay him. "And go out and keep doing what we've been doing.". Sure lets look at a guy that posts a mid-.800 OPS and has a proven track record of premium pitching success and just assume thats where Strider would fall in five years?! If you swap those times it would be a 1pm local start in LA, at least this way its a 4pm local start in ATL. If the Braves can reposition themselves as Americas Team once again, all that peach juice will come flowing back. The Braves paid him $75M. 8. Strider took the mound to start . Salary: All-Star: World Series: 2021 Atlanta Braves: 65--2022 Atlanta Braves: 37. I have faith in you to sign you right now. If you dont you price yourself out of future contracts by playing the waiting game. October 28, 1998 With the shift going away, how can anyone think Olsons production is going to go down is beyond me. Theres a reason Cohen has the money he has, and it isnt by being a fool October? Dont know what thats worth, but its not nothin. Its not a bargain. 2. $200 per post at $10/CPM. Detroit couldnt trade him for an old jock now. Most of his miscalculations are trigger happy overreactions to common slumps and overvaluing prime players, because he doesnt realize the extra value hes trying to quantify is the consistency they bring in being a star player. Late in February, Spencer proposed to Maggie Whitener, and the two are now happily married. Defending Champs and your slotted at Get Away games. The Braves announced a six-year contract extension for Rookie of the Year candidate Spencer Strider. Hopefully he also didnt mean Scherzer, one terrible wildcard game from an elite pitcher like him still doesnt make him crap. Its also worth noting that Fried might take the offer Strider just got as a giant slap in the face since hes been leading the rotation for years and won a WS for Atlanta, while Strider hasnt even pitched enough innings to qualify for the ERA title. Spencer Strider was born in Columbus, Ohio on October 28, 1998. 2 top 5 MVP finishes before his first 2 arb seasons. Considering Burnes won a Cy Young and has had a microscopic ERA for three straight seasons with a career FIP of 2.85, thats probably the 85 percentile of Strider reaching his potential, IF you buy into one season of work and think hes a generational pitcher. Hell be paid a $4MM salary in 2025 before jumping to $20MM in 2026 and $22MM in 2027 and 2028. Will make luxury tax teams wary of him. These deals take trust on both sides. Have a better case that shows why you would gamble paying $53M for three arb years to save $8M in free agency? Yes, it would be more pricey that way, but its worth it to mitigate the good majority of the risk. Lame. J.R. Ritchie, RHP 3. $25M (2028 Option), If he blew the lid off previous seasons with year-to-year, it would be like, $1M (2023) LMFAO. No, hes *NOT* a Super Two candidate. You take risks to lock down his first 2 years of FA. Doubt the Sox are much happier w/Story, but Red Sox fans would know much more about that than I do. When hes banging 25-30 HRs, hell be at best a mid-.800 OPS, nowhere near the $40M/year people believe he will get! Not a fan of it, but thats the way it works. Youll find that its a similar sounding word to allude. Its a horrible deal, set your expectations to hate it now, so you are less annoyed in 3 years. To my point, if we arent sure Friend and Burnes will make $27.5M, why would anyone guarantee it to a rookie with next to no track record, when the over is so little. Can Story even play SS anymore? That will fall far short of the top 22 percent. Braves: Spencer Strider offers plenty of blame for rough weekend vs Mets. But I wonder if a team can reach a point that they have too many of these deals and can could reduce their roster flexibility down the road. The 23-year-old right-hander has pitched just two seasons above the collegiate level, but his incredible rookie season gave Atlanta confidence to make this commitment. Braves should stay as far away from Correas mercenary thoughts (and bad back) as possible. us. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Strider will be Super Two because he will be top 2 in ROY voting and that earns him and extra year of service time in the new CBA. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Really mature young man. Braves give long term deals to guys that will be younger when the deal is done. For someone like me who can only watch my team on national broadcasts due to the unavailability of my teams cable channel at a decent price, getting to watch them on TV (instead of settling for the radio like usual) a few extra times a season thanks to the Apple deal is great. Yes, they get one or two free agent years in exchange, but thats not enough to make up for those heavily expensive arb years in the deal. So the only time he could qualify for Super 2 status is after 2023. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. The Dodgers play on the west coast and you want them to play earlier then the Braves? Thats worth roughly $54m, if you can even buy a prime age #1 starter for 2 years. Thing is Baez/Story both have been more consistent with their bats (even Baez, lol), while providing defensive value. It shows loyalty and commitment to someone whos earned it. Troll on books. Waves of injuries can derail any team at any time, but health-permitting, the Braves are going to be good for a long, long time. The reality is you should get a 20% discount on the overall value of what they project at today. Spencer Strider had 202 strikeouts last season and 202 strikeouts over his career. All four teams will provide unique challenges for the Braves. "I'm just excited that there's some security in knowing I'll be here with these guys in this clubhouse," Strider said. Luckily for . That kind of evaluation has gotten the Tigers and Red Sox stuck w/those two. Think hell get significantly longer offers than 3 years Sid. But for every Newcomb, Folty, Wisler,and Touki that theyve missed on I think theyre happy to trade that off with Fried, Wright, Minter, and to a lesser extent Anderson and Elder. Contracts are not based on the back end, they area based on value as a whole. The only way this deal makes sense is if he becomes an inner-circle Hall-of-Fame pitcher who is the greatest pitcher of our generation. @Lanidrac Its very unlikely to hurt the Braves badly, since short of catastrophic injury (for which theyll probably have insurance) theyd be keeping him around anyway, shepherding him through TJ should that happen, paying arb awards, collecting insurance. The Yankees have the fattest wallets, anywhere but NY wasnt really an option. Yeah, then every utility bench player with a heart of gold should make $10-15M a year. They could or locked judge up years ago now they are going to pay for it or not pay for it and lose their star. Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN). I think they have the money. It is purely a way to get extra money in the hands of 0-3 year service time players who are not arbitration eligible and subject to receiving the league minimum. It doesnt benefit both parties, Alex A. is a moron that has signed so many extensions that even with all the great deals he got done, the average $$$ is pushing $180M after only 15 of the contracts. Lets say Strider goes to every All-Star game for the next 6 years, wins two Cy Young awards, finishes top 10 every other season, and avoids injury. The players are definitely buying what the Braves are selling.
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